Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks – Jan. 20

The Miami Heat (22-21) hope to snap a four-game road losing skid at the Sacramento Kings (12-31) on January 20, 2026. Miami is a modest 3.5-point favorite against Sacramento when the Heat square off with the Kings on Tuesday. The over/under is 237.5 points for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-CA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Heat vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 – Kings 114

Heat vs. Kings Betting Insights

• The Heat have played 22 games with over 237.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, this season.
• A total of 14 Kings games this season (out of 43) have gone over 237.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 7.6 fewer points per game (229.9) than this matchup’s total of 237.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.3 more points per game (238.8) than this matchup’s over/under of 237.5 points.
• Miami has been the favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (61.1%) in those contests.
• Sacramento has been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (23.1%) in those games.
• In the last one head-to-head matchups, Sacramento has a 1-0 record against Miami.
• The Kings also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when facing off with the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 4-6 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.6 points over its last 10 games, 0.9 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Heat’s 43 games this season, they have 24 wins against the spread.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 7-9 in its 16 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total in 51.2% of their opportunities this year (22 times in 43 games with a set point total).
• The 119.3 points per game the Heat record are just 1.2 fewer points than the Kings give up (120.5).
• Miami is 16-2 against the spread and 14-4 overall when scoring more than 120.5 points.
• This season, the Heat have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.7% lower than the 49.2% of shots the Kings’ opponents have made.
• Against the spread, the Heat have fared better at home, covering 13 times in 22 home games, and 11 times in 21 road games.
• Miami has gone over the over/under in 11 of 22 home games (50%). It has done better in away games, eclipsing the total in 11 of 21 matchups (52.4%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have taken 10 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .667 winning percentage. They have won one of three games on the road (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell posts 23.7 points, 2.7 assists and 3.7 boards per game.
• Bam Adebayo averages 17.0 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Kel’el Ware averages 11.6 points, 0.6 assists and 9.8 boards per game.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, shooting 46.5% from the floor and 39.8% from downtown with 1.9 made treys per game.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.7 points, 4.8 assists and 5.1 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Sacramento has averaged a total of 229.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.4 less than this matchup’s total of 237.5.
• The Kings are 16-25-2 against the spread this season.
• Sacramento has been underdogs by 3.5 points or more 34 times this year and are 13-19-2 ATS in those contests.
• Kings games this season have eclipsed the over/under 19 times in 43 opportunities (44.2%).
• The Kings score an average of 110.6 points per game, 7.7 fewer points than the 118.3 the Heat allow.
• Sacramento has put together a 9-2-1 ATS record and a 7-5 overall record in games it scores more than 118.3 points.
• The Kings are shooting 46.6% from the field, 0.4% higher than the 46.2% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
• The Kings’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .391 (9-13-1). Away, it is .350 (7-12-1).
• Sacramento’s games have gone above the over/under less often at home (nine times out of 23) than away (10 of 20) this season.

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• Russell Westbrook is putting up 15.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 7.0 assists per contest. He’s also draining 43.5% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from 3-point range, with 2.0 triples per contest.
• DeMar DeRozan is averaging 19.0 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game. He’s draining 50.8% of his shots from the floor.
• Dennis Schroder gives the Kings 12.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Kings are getting 19.8 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Zach LaVine this season.
• The Kings are getting 10.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Maxime Raynaud this season.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.