March 3, 2026, 12:41 a.m. ET
The TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 9-7 Big 12) visit the No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-7, 12-4) Tuesday for a 7 p.m. ET (FS1) tip from United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the TCU vs. Texas Tech odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
TCU has won its last 3 games and 6 of its last 7 after taking down the Kansas State Wildcats 77-68 Saturday, covering as a 3.5-point road favorite with the Under (158.5) hitting. F Xavier Edmonds had a double-double with a team-high 15 points and 13 rebounds, while G Tanner Toolson added 14 off the bench.
Texas Tech has also won its last 3 and 6 of its last 7 after beating the No. 4 Iowa State Cyclone 82-73 Saturday as a 9.5-point road underdog with the Over (144.5) hitting. G Donovan Atwell scored a team-high 18 points.
The teams split 2 games last season with TCU winning the last meeting 69-66 at home. Texas Tech leads the all-time series 80-46.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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TCU at Texas Tech odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): TCU +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Texas Tech -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): TCU +9.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
TCU at Texas Tech picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas Tech 79, TCU 66
PASS.
There is no value on the Red Raiders (-500), who are 14-1 at home this season.
LEAN TEXAS TECH -9.5 (-110).
Despite the Horned Frogs playing well recently, the Red Raiders have been too hot to bet against recently, especially coming off a dominant win over No. 4 Iowa State and entering the top 10 rankings. They are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 games, covering twice as double-digit favorites in that span and in each of their last 3 at home.
BET UNDER 148.5 (-115).
The Horned Frogs have scored 71 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 and 6 of their last 9, hitting the Under in 3 of their last 4 overall and in back-to-back road games.
The Red Raiders have hit the Under in 5 of their last 8 games. They have scored 78 or fewer points in 5 of their last 8, while allowing 73 or fewer in 7 of their last 8 overall.
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