76ers vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 26

The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) face the Miami Heat (31-28) on February 26, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-PH. The 76ers take on the Heat in a game that Philadelphia is currently a modest favorite by 2.5 points. The game’s point total is 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the 76ers-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

76ers vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-PH
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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76ers vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: 76ers 118 – Heat 116

76ers vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The 76ers have played 19 games with more than 239.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, this season.
• A total of 27 Heat games this season (out of 59) have had more than 239.5 total points scored.
• The 76ers and the Heat combine to average 2.9 fewer points per game than the total of 239.5 set for this game.
• The 76ers and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 6.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 239.5 set in this matchup.
• Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 34 games this year and has walked away with the win 23 times (67.6%) in those games.
• Miami has been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (44.8%) in those games.
• After the last one head-to-head matchups, Miami has a 1-0 record against Philadelphia.
• The Heat also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the 76ers.

76ers Recent Trends

• The 76ers are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Philadelphia has averaged a total of 230.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.6 less than this game’s total of 239.5.
• The 76ers have played 58 games, with 30 wins against the spread.
• Philadelphia is 14-8 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
• 76ers games this year have gone over the point total 52.5% of the time (31 out of 59 games with a set point total).
• The 76ers record only 0.5 fewer points per game (116.6) than the Heat allow (117.1).
• Philadelphia is 17-5 against the spread and 18-4 overall when scoring more than 117.1 points.
• This season, the 76ers have a 46% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.2% higher than the 45.8% of shots the Heat’s opponents have knocked down.
• The 76ers have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (18-10-0) than they have at home (12-17-1).
• In terms of point totals, Philadelphia hits the over less often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 16 times in 30 opportunities this season (53.3%). In away games, it has hit the over 15 times in 28 opportunities (53.6%).
• The 76ers have played worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 12-7, compared to going 11-4 in away games.

76ers Recent Stats

76ers Leaders

• Tyrese Maxey posts 29.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 2 steals (second in NBA) and 0.8 blocks.
• VJ Edgecombe posts 15.3 points, 5.5 boards and 4 assists per game, shooting 42.8% from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Joel Embiid posts 26.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.8% from the field and 31.7% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per game.
• Quentin Grimes averages 12.8 points, 3.6 assists and 3.6 boards.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. puts up 14.4 points, 4.7 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 46.4% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made treys per contest.

76ers Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 4.9 points fewer than the 239.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Heat have 34 wins against the spread in 59 games this year.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 14-9-1 in its 24 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 52.5% of the time this year (31 of 59 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up an average of 120 points per game, only 4.1 more points than the 115.9 the 76ers allow.
• Miami has put together a 27-9 ATS record and a 24-10 overall record in games it scores more than 115.9 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.3% from the field, 0.7% lower than the 47% the 76ers’ opponents have shot this season.
• The Heat’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .536 (15-13-0). On the road, it is .613 (19-11-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami’s games have gone over 15 of 28 times at home (53.6%), and 16 of 31 on the road (51.6%).
• The Heat’s winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .571 (12-9), and away it is .667 (6-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 18.3 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Heat are receiving 16.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this year.
• Norman Powell gives the Heat 22.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game while posting 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. gets the Heat 15 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest while posting 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Kel’el Ware is averaging 11.4 points, 9.4 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 52.9% of his shots from the field and 40.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per game.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.